..but did she do as well as the polling firm Ekos has her and the Greens in Ontario?
Liberals 33, Cons. 33, NDP 20, Green 15
I think thats the largest # I’ve seen the Greens have in Ontario from any polling firm. If you’ve been following the Ekos daily poll, they would seem to be pulling it from all parties. So the question would be a) How accurate is Ekos methodology, and b) Is it hard or soft support for the Greens? With regards to the 2nd question, Ekos said they found that 74% of Green Party voters would “not likely” change their vote, while 17% said “likely” and 9% said “somewhat likely”.
The next question asks if they knew the Conservatives would win a majority government, would they change their vote to try and stop it, and 30% of Greens voters said they would (though I question the poll’s wording here, as one can never truly KNOW about voting night). Of course, if the polls stay the same, and it appears there is a minority government of whatever stripe, the likelihood of them changing their vote is even more remote.
Oh, and as with other polls, Ekos also shows a narrowing down to 7% between the Cons and the Liberals, the lowest margin they’ve had since the election writ was dropped. As with Decima and Nanos, they show the Cons dropping into the teens in Quebec.
One thing about this poll, and even moreso in the Strategic Counsel battleground poll, the Liberal vote is firm, relative to the NDP and Greens. The NDP vote looks quite fertile in the SC poll, and the Greens are even softer. The Conservatives are falling, and yet their growth potential is still as low, which is strange because as the party numbers fade, you would expect an inverse uptick in potential growth.
Everyway I look at it, the Libs are the only one with real room, and that is a good spot heading into the final days.